Numerous federal programs, policies, and activities are
supported through the tax code. As described in statute, tax
expenditures are reductions in tax liabilities that result from
preferential provisions, such as tax exclusions, credits, and
deductions. They result in revenue forgone. This report, done under the
Comptroller General's authority, is part of an effort to assist
Congress in reexamining and transforming the government to meet the
many challenges and opportunities that we face in the 21st century.
This report describes (1) how tax expenditures have changed over the
past three decades in number, size, and in comparison to federal
revenue, spending, and the economy, and (2) the amount of progress made
since our 1994 recommendations to improve scrutiny of tax expenditures.
Whether gauged in numbers, revenues forgone, or compared to federal spending or
the size of the economy, tax expenditures have represented a
substantial federal commitment over the past three decades. Since 1974,
the number of tax expenditures more than doubled and the sum of tax
expenditure revenue loss estimates tripled in real terms to nearly $730
billion in 2004. The 14 largest tax expenditures, headed by the
individual income tax exclusion for employer-provided health care,
accounted for 75 percent of the aggregate revenue loss in fiscal year
2004. On an outlay-equivalent basis, the sum of tax expenditure
estimates exceeded discretionary spending for most years in the last
decade. For some budget functions, the sum of tax expenditure estimates
was of the same magnitude as or larger than federal spending. As a
share of the economy, the sum of tax expenditure outlay-equivalent
estimates has been about 7.5 percent of gross domestic product since
the last major tax reform legislation in 1986. All federal spending and
tax policy tools, including tax expenditures, should be reexamined to
ensure that they are achieving their intended purposes and designed in
the most efficient and effective manner. The nation's current and
projected fiscal imbalance serves to reinforce the importance of
engaging in such a review and reassessment. Although data and
methodological challenges exist, periodic reviews of tax expenditures
could establish whether they are relevant to today's needs; if so, how
well they have worked to achieve their objectives; and whether the
benefits from specific tax expenditures are greater than their costs.
Over the past decade, however, the Executive Branch made little
progress in integrating tax expenditures into the budget presentation,
in developing a structure for evaluating tax expenditure outcomes or in
incorporating them under review processes that apply to spending
programs, as we recommended in 1994. More recently, the Administration
has not used its Program Assessment Rating Tool process to
systematically review tax expenditures or promote joint reviews of tax
and spending programs sharing common goals.
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